“competing against luck is a really good intro”
Competing Against Luck
By Clayton M. Christensen, Taddy Hall, Karen Dillon, and David S. Duncan
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Related frameworks
Fixed Time, Variable Scope (Appetite-Based Planning)
Set the max time you'll spend first, then design a solution that fits it — instead of estimating a concept.
Framing (Setting the Boundaries)
Narrow a fuzzy request down to the specific problem worth solving before you design any solution.
Live Shaping Session
Put product, a senior engineer, and a designer in a room to sketch and break ideas until one is clearly buildable in the appetite.
The Circuit Breaker (Back to Shaping)
When a project overruns its appetite, don't extend it or gut the agreed value — pull it back into shaping mode.
The Detail Dial
Calibrate how prescriptive a shaped plan is to the builder's seniority — more detail lifts juniors, less frees seniors.
The Nine-Scopes Kickoff
At kickoff, have the builders translate the shaped idea into nine-or-fewer implementation chunks to test scope and build clarity.
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