Why Distribution, Not Product-Market Fit, Is the Real Consumer Moat
Spiegel argues founders obsess over product-market fit but underinvest in distribution, which is now the hardest thing to figure out in consumer tech. He points to TikTok subsidizing both sides of its video marketplace with billions and Threads leveraging Meta's existing reach as the two recent consumer successes that won by cracking distribution. Snapchat itself benefited from an early App Store when people still downloaded lots of new apps.
- Distribution, not product quality, is the hardest problem in consumer technology today
- TikTok bootstrapped its marketplace by spending billions subsidizing both viewers and creators
- Threads succeeded by leveraging Meta's existing cross-product distribution
- Snapchat launched when the App Store was new and people downloaded apps eagerly; that appetite is gone
“people don't spend nearly enough time thinking about, you know, distribution and figuring out distribution.”
“TikTok did it with money, uh which I actually thought was really innovative.”