Big Tech Competition Is a Boa Constrictor, Not a Shotgun
Houston says platform competition rarely kills a startup at the moment a rival product launches. Early versions of iCloud, Google Drive, OneDrive, and even Internet Explorer could appear without leaving a visible mark in the incumbent's numbers. The damage comes from years of iteration, bundling, and distribution pressure that tighten gradually until the independent product has little room left.
- A competitor launch can have no visible immediate effect
- Repeated iteration and bundling matter more than version one
- Headline growth can continue after the strategic position has weakened
- BlackBerry and Nokia had strong sales years after the iPhone launched
“the press often writes about competition like, oh, it's a shotgun blast, um, when later I would learn it's more of a BOA constrictor”
“there's a big time lag where between when these products launch and when they actually have an impact”