LLenny's Podcast
← All episodes
Patrick Campbell (ProfitWell)19 February 2023

10 lessons on bootstrapping a $200m business

8Frameworks
15Insights

Frameworks in this episode

Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Hot Take· 4

Hot Take05:30

Your Job Isn't to Make Everyone Happy

Campbell argues the 'team is everything' cliche fails because companies confuse it with accommodating every person and making everyone happy. He points to churn in management as evidence people Ops is an afterthought, and says real values only matter when they carry an explicit trade-off.

  • Average manager tenure in tech is about 15.7 months; a report keeps the same manager only ~10.8 months
  • You're not there to make everyone happy, you're there for a mission and goal
  • Values aren't real unless they name a clear trade-off (e.g. optimizing for the long term means giving up short-term revenue)
  • Being everything to all people is a misconception that undermines a team

you're not there to make everyone happy you're there for some sort of mission and some sort of goal

Patrick Campbell · 06:00

values aren't values unless there's an actual trade-off right

Patrick Campbell · 08:00
#team-building#culture#leadership#values
Hot Take12:00

Bootstrapping ProfitWell Was Actually a Mistake

Campbell's contrarian take: bootstrapping is for lifestyle businesses that cash flow, funding is for companies chasing a billion in annual revenue. He admits that despite the $200m+ exit, ProfitWell should have taken money earlier because it got hooked on efficiency and could have moved faster.

  • Bootstrapping suits cash-flow businesses; funding suits billion-dollar-revenue ambitions
  • ProfitWell got 'hooked on efficiency' and could have grown faster with capital
  • Founders often want to build a big company but don't do the thing (raise) that makes it happen
  • This take intentionally offends the indie/bootstrapper crowd

the basic idea is bootstrapping is for lifestyle businesses that want to cash flow funding is for companies trying to

Patrick Campbell · 12:00

this was a big mistake like yes it was a great exit we sold for over 200 million dollars Etc but we probably if we…

Patrick Campbell · 12:30
#bootstrapping#fundraising#startups
Hot Take40:30

Everyone Tweets About Customer Research, Almost Nobody Does It

Campbell's curmudgeonly rant: companies retweet the articles and give the advice, but only 1 in 5 actually have ICPs and only 1 in 10 do quarterly customer research. Companies that do it show higher NPS, willingness to pay, LTV:CAC, and growth, and it was only skippable because the market was easy.

  • Only 1 in 5 companies have buyer personas or ICPs
  • Only 1 in 10 do customer research or development quarterly
  • Companies with customer development show ~15-20% higher growth rates, better NPS, WTP, and LTV:CAC
  • The fix: put a number on a whiteboard, e.g. 10 non-sales customer conversations a month

only one in five companies have buyer personas or icps only one in five

Patrick Campbell · 41:00

only one out of ten companies actually do customer research or development on a quarterly basis

Patrick Campbell · 41:00
#customer-research#icp#product#growth
Hot Take59:30

The Middle of the Funnel Is the New Top of Funnel

Campbell says 80% of sales and marketing budgets go to the top and bottom of the funnel, but efficiency there has plummeted. The opportunity is building a pool of aware, interacting leads in the middle, best filled with freemium, so people convert on their own timeline.

  • ~80% of sales/marketing budget goes to top and bottom of funnel, where efficiency has collapsed
  • Modern sales is more about timing, so keep leads interacting in the middle until timing is right
  • Freemium converts to paid customers with ~10-20% higher retention and roughly double the NPS/CSAT
  • ProfitWell filled the middle with 8 niche podcasts and video series plus SEO and ebooks

customers who convert from freemium and become paid customers their retention is typically about 10 to 20 percent higher

Patrick Campbell · 1:02:00

middle of the funnels the new top of funnel we need a bumper sticker

Patrick Campbell · 1:04:00
#demand-generation#funnel#freemium#marketing

Explainer· 3

Explainer20:30

Why the Value Metric Beats Every Other Pricing Lever

Campbell says the highest-leverage pricing decision is the value metric, how you charge (per user, per thousand visits, etc.). Get it right and even if the rest of your pricing is wrong you tend to be okay, because it self-adjusts acquisition, churn, and expansion revenue.

  • The value metric lets big customers pay big prices and small ones pay small prices for similar usage
  • Churn tends to run 20-25% lower because downgrades happen automatically with usage
  • Expansion revenue is typically double because upsells become implicit, not a resell
  • Physical goods and consumer companies make the value metric harder to apply

the number one thing to figure out when you're thinking about the different pricing pieces pound for pound it's the pricing metric or the value…

Patrick Campbell · 20:30
#pricing#value-metric#monetization#expansion-revenue
Explainer24:00

The Tactical Retention Product Teams Ignore

Campbell splits retention into strategic (ICPs, time-to-value, roadmap) and tactical (payment failures, cancellation flows, off-boarding). Product teams obsess over strategic retention and miss tactical retention, which can be 25-40% of the churn problem and only takes a couple of months of work.

  • Strategic retention = ICPs, time to value, roadmap, mission metric
  • Tactical retention = payment failures, term optimization, cancellation flows, off-boarding
  • Tactical retention is typically 25-40% of a post-PMF company's churn problem
  • Finance teams should often own it because product always thinks about the future, not the fix now

there are two types of retention there is strategic retention and then there's tactical retention

Patrick Campbell · 24:30

if your past product Market fit this area this tactical retention it's typically about 25 to 40 percent of your churn problem which is a…

Patrick Campbell · 25:00
#retention#churn#product#saas
Explainer25:30

The Two Questions to Ask on a Cancellation Screen

From analyzing ~2 million cancellation flows, Campbell found you have 18-30 seconds when someone hits cancel. Ask two questions: why are you leaving (multiple choice), and what did you like about the product, which triggers a nostalgia effect that stops the cancel 'freight train.'

  • You get about 18-30 seconds once someone hits cancel
  • Ask 'why are you leaving' as multiple choice, not free response (1 in 100 free responses are useful)
  • Ask 'what did you like about the product' to trigger a nostalgia effect and stop the cancel
  • Combine answers with engagement/plan data to offer a salvage, pause, or maintenance plan

you have about 18 to 30 seconds when someone hits that cancel button we found you should ask two questions

Patrick Campbell · 25:30

the minute you ask them what they'd like you're basically tapping into this Nostalgia effect and you're stopping that freight train

Patrick Campbell · 26:00
#retention#churn#cancellation-flow#off-boarding

Story· 2

Story27:30

Why ProfitWell Gave Its Metrics Product Away Free

Campbell explains why ProfitWell Metrics became free: analytics products that sit in the messy middle, not a daily workflow tool and not a passive value product, have the worst churn. Their retention thesis is that products you either use daily or never log into but still get value from retain best.

  • Lowest churn goes to daily-workflow products or passive products you get value from without logging in
  • Products in the middle have the worst retention ('it's like death')
  • ProfitWell's product features are 'done for you' using data from $30B in ARR flowing through it
  • You can't easily kill the spreadsheet; analysts do everything in a spreadsheet

anything in the middle it's like death and this is why profile metrics ended up being free

Patrick Campbell · 28:30

it's it's terrible to build a metrics for an analytics product it's so hard because people just don't appreciate how much work goes into it

Patrick Campbell · 28:30
#retention#product-strategy#analytics#saas
Story46:00

From the NSA to White-Label Surveys on Competitors' Customers

Campbell started his career as an entry-level analyst at the NSA, which taught him node analysis and first-principles puzzle-solving. He argues 'don't focus on competitors' is terrible advice for a company (right for product teams), and describes running white-label NPS surveys on competitors' customers for intel.

  • Campbell was an entry-level intelligence analyst at the NSA for just over a year
  • 'Don't focus on competitors' is good for product teams but bad as a company-wide rule
  • You have ~16x the competitors starting a tech business today versus 10 years ago
  • ProfitWell ran white-label NPS and customer development surveys on competitors' customers as third parties

don't focus on your competitors is terrible advice it's amazing advice for product teams

Patrick Campbell · 47:00

we had white label NPS surveys and customer development surveys going to our competitors customers like that's the level

Patrick Campbell · 49:00
#competitive-intelligence#market#nsa#strategy

Tool· 2

Tool1:05:00

Patrick Campbell's Most-Recommended Books

In the lightning round Campbell names the books he recommends most: High Output Management (read ~20 times, once a year), Thinking in Bets for first-principles thinking, and Powerful by Patty McCord as the 'gateway drug' that reshaped how he thought about people Ops and HR.

  • High Output Management by Andy Grove, read ~20 times in 10 years
  • Thinking in Bets, useful for first-principles thinking
  • Powerful by Patty McCord, the book that unlocked how to design people Ops teams

I have read high output management probably 20 times in the past 10 years I read it at least once a year now

Patrick Campbell · 1:05:00
#books#management#hr#recommendations
Tool1:08:30

SaaS Products Patrick Campbell Uses and Loves

Campbell's lightning-round product list: Notion for documentation, Descript for video and quick recordings, the indie tool Ktool to batch web articles and PDFs into a personal Kindle newsletter, Tweet Hunter for Twitter, and an Apple Watch Ultra so he can leave his phone behind.

  • Notion for all documentation and personal use
  • Descript for video recording/editing and quick conversations, often over Loom
  • Ktool (indie) batches sent articles/PDFs into a weekly Kindle newsletter he reads on weekends
  • Tweet Hunter for consistency on Twitter; Apple Watch Ultra to cut phone screen time

if I'm online or someone sends me a PDF or something like that I can basically choose to send that to my Kindle

Patrick Campbell · 1:09:30
#tools#saas#productivity#recommendations

Takeaway· 4

Takeaway14:30

The Billion-in-Revenue Test for Venture Scale

Campbell's heuristic for whether to raise: if there's no clear path to a billion in annual revenue, take a step back before jumping on the VC treadmill. He frames this as freeing, because a 10 million dollar cash-flowing business is a genuinely great, low-pressure outcome.

  • Ask whether the company can reach a billion in revenue per year (over 20 years is fine)
  • IPOs now happen closer to 200-250 million, changing the old 100 million benchmark
  • On the funding treadmill a 400-500 million exit can leave the founder with less than a 50 million cash-flowing business
  • A 10 million dollar business is a realistic, life-changing goal without the billion-dollar pressure

if you are going to be that large company you need to get to a billion in Revenue per year it doesn't have to be…

Patrick Campbell · 15:00
#fundraising#startups#venture-scale
Takeaway18:30

The Whole Pricing Secret: Do One Thing Per Quarter

Campbell's boring-but-powerful pricing hot take is to simply do one pricing thing every quarter. Track revenue per customer as the single KPI you want trending up, set up a small pricing committee, and put a recurring calendar invite in that you'll snooze but eventually act on.

  • The one KPI to watch is revenue per customer, trending up and to the right
  • Set a recurring quarterly calendar invite and do one pricing action each time
  • Run a pricing committee: 2 people at a tiny company, ~8 core people at a huge one
  • Levers include price, packaging, add-ons, discounts, localization, and freemium

the biggest hot take is you just have to do something once a quarter that's it

Patrick Campbell · 18:30

it is the revenue per customer look at that number that one kpi and you want that number going up and to the right

Patrick Campbell · 19:00
#pricing#monetization#saas
Takeaway22:30

Raise Your Prices Once a Year

If your NPS is over 20 and you're actively building, Campbell says you should raise your overall price once a year. A price increase is tight and non-nebulous, so it forces you to collect data, align sales, and rip off the political Band-Aid, unlike endless value-metric debates.

  • Raise price once per year if NPS is over 20 (not a high bar) and you're still building
  • A price increase is a concrete forcing function versus nebulous metric debates
  • Most companies only change their actual price once every three years
  • If you haven't raised in three years, you're overdue

if your NPS is over 20 which is not a very high MPS you should raise your prices once per year

Patrick Campbell · 22:30

most companies don't change their actual number that they're charging once but every three years so if you haven't done it for three years like…

Patrick Campbell · 23:00
#pricing#price-increase#saas#nps
Takeaway54:30

People Buy From People: The Case for In-Person

Campbell argues operators get so excited about internet scale they forget humanity. His data shows prospects who meet you in person have measurably higher willingness to pay and lower churn, so run cheap meetups, breakfasts, and lunches, and match spend to lead priority.

  • Prospects who meet you in person have 10-30% higher willingness to pay
  • Churn is ~20% lower and expansion revenue ~15-20% higher for people you've met
  • The effect holds even for scaled $20-50/month products, not just high-touch sales
  • Push P2/P3 leads to cheap meetups, save one-on-one coffees for P1s; breakfasts and lunches beat dinners

people like to buy from people but we as operators get so excited about the scale of the internet that we forget the basics of…

Patrick Campbell · 54:30

prospects who meet you in person have 10 to 30 percent higher willingness to pay than those who didn't

Patrick Campbell · 55:00
#sales#in-person#meetups#willingness-to-pay